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a sign that says help wanted on a glass doorThe 2024 Professions Barometer has been released, summarising data collected by employees of the Government Labour Office in Warsaw. According to its authors’ forecasts, in 2024 there will be a shortage of workers in the capital in as many as 54 occupations. In which professions will it be easiest to get a job in Warsaw in 2024?

The Professions Barometer is a one-year forecast of the Warsaw recruitment market situation. It categorises occupations into three groups: deficit, balanced and surplus. The first group are those in which the number of vacancies is greater than the number of people interested in taking the roles, the second group are those in which the number of vacancies is similar to the number of people interested in taking the roles. Occupations belonging to the last group are those in which the number of candidates is greater than the number of vacancies.

Last year, the situation on the labour market was exceptional due to low unemployment, which in Warsaw was only 1.4 percent in November. And what will it be like in 2024? As they point out, there may be a shortage of workers in many industries, which will be an opportunity for new entrants to the market to find employment and a challenge to hiring companies and recruitment agencies, who will need to find innovative ways to recruit for these roles. There is a constant need for people performing professions related to health care, including: doctors, nurses and care workers. Professions where there is a significant deficit also include: educational assistants, concrete workers, steel fixers, teachers, cooks, doctors, postal workers. According to data on the labor market, we are losing people of working age. People aged 50+ have high unemployment levels and take longer to secure a new job if they are laid off. This will be one of the biggest challenges for the economy in the coming years.

“The forecast for 2024 indicates that Warsaw will experience a shortage of workers in 54 occupational groups, including 16 where a large deficit is expected. At the same time, the job market in Warsaw is characterized by enormous dynamics and employee flows as well as mobility – many employees commute to work every day. not only from the areas surrounding Warsaw, but also from the largest cities in the voivodeship,” states the summary of the report. Also, experts emphasise that the job market in Warsaw is unique because it contains professions that are rarely found in other areas. This can lead to difficulties in forecasting.

So in which professions will there be the biggest recruitment challenges?

Researchers predict that the greatest shortage of workers in Warsaw will occur in the following professions:

Facility hosts, porters, janitors and caretakers
Bus drivers
Postmen and couriers
Bricklayers and plasterers
Teachers of practical vocational training
General education teachers
Teachers of vocational subjects
Kindergarten teachers
Carers of an elderly or disabled person
Cleaning personnel
Nurses and midwives
Manual workers in production and simple work
Finishing workers in construction
Psychologists and psychotherapists
Construction workers

Next although not as large a shortage as the previous group, shortages will also occur in the following professions:

Education assistants
Concrete workers and reinforcers
Carpenters and construction carpenters
Roofers and construction sheet metal workers
Physiotherapists and masseurs
Civil engineers
Waiters and bartenders
Truck and tractor unit drivers
Construction managers
Managers in social and cultural institutions
Train drivers
Construction installation fitters
Metal structure fitters
Early childhood teachers
Teachers of special schools and integration classes
Operators of lifting and transport equipment
Kitchen workers
Road and railway construction workers
Accounting and bookkeeping staff
Dental technicians
Car wash, laundry and ironing workers
Air traffic workers
Rail traffic workers
Physical security workers
Postal workers
Employees of uniformed services – army, police etc.
Social workers
Medical lifeguards
Receptionists and registrars
Independent accountants
Administrative specialists
Educators in educational and care institutions